财务报表分析之我见(中英文版)
六一活动-四川师范大学教务网
财务报表分析之我见
【摘要】
财务报表是揭示企业财务信息的基本手段,是财务报告的核心。 随着我国市
场经济的发展和不断完善,人们日益认识到财务报表分析的重要性。通过分析财务报表,
能评价企业过去
的经营成果、衡量企业目前的财务状况并预测企业未来的发展趋势。因
此,对财务报表的使用者来说,分
析利用好财务报表显得至关重要。但由于传统的、常
用的财务报表分析存在一定的局限,这给我们正确理
解财务信息造成一定的障碍。本文
针对我国现行财务报表分析存在的局限性,探讨其解决对策,以期为完
善和发展我国的
财务报表分析体系提供新的思路和方法。
【关键词】
财务报表 分析方法 局限性 对策建议
一、 财务报表分析概述
财务报
表分析是指以财务报表和其他资料作为依据和起点,采用专门方法,系统分
析和评价企业的过去和现在的
经营成果 、财务状况及其变动,目的是了解过去、评价
现在、预测未来,帮助利益关系集团改善决策。
财务分析的基本功能是将大量的报表数
据转换成对特定决策有用的信息,减少决策的不确定性。 财务分析的方法有比较分析法和因素分析法,其中,比较分析法中财务比率的比较
是最重要的分析,
它们通过相对数比较,排除了企业规模的影响使不同比较对象在不
同时期和不同行业之间建立起可比性,
反映了各会计要素之间内在联系。企业基本的财
务比率可以分为四类:即变现能力比率、资产管理比率、
负债比率和盈利能力比率。不
同的财务比率在企业的财务管理中发挥着不同的作用。
(一)变现能力比率
主要有流动比率和速动比率,通过对这些比率的计算和分析,用以评价企
业变现的
能力和反映企业的短期偿债能力,它取决于企业可以在近期转变为现金的流动资产的多
少。
(二)资产管理比率。
包括营业周期、存货周转率、应收账款周转率、流动资产周转率
和总资产周转率。
这些比率是用来衡量企业资产管理效率的重要财务比率。
(三)负债比率。
主要包括资产负债率、产权比率、有形净值债务率和已获利息倍数。通过报
表中有
关数据计算这些比率来分析权益与资产之间的关系,分析不同权益之间的内在联系,用
以
评价企业的长期偿债能力。
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二、
财务报表分析中存在的问题
(一) 财务报表分析人员存在的局限性
一方面,财务分
析人员的分析能力存在差异。由于财务报表分析人员的业务素质
和能力水平存在差异,不同的分析人员在
财务报表分析的相关理论、分析方法和解读财
务报表等各方面知识的掌握程度不同,导致其对分析指标计
算结果的理解和认识出现差
异,这势必会影响报表分析的结果。另一方面,进行财务报表分析时,还存在
人为操纵
分析指标的可能性。通过采用不同的计算方法得出不同的分析指标,以达到粉饰企业经
营业绩的目的。
(二) 财务报表分析方法存在的局限性
财务报表分析方法有比较分析法、比率分析法、
趋势分析法以及因素分析法等,
这些方法各自有其优越性,但同时也存在着局限性。
1、比较
分析法。由于不同企业间、同一企业的不同时期情况各异,在比较分析时
其数据难免会缺乏可比性。 <
br>2、比率分析法。财务比率是由两个相关项目相比而得到的相对数,事实上影响该
项比率的因素有
很多,不能仅仅用两个项目表达出来,以致分析时难以全面衡量。
3、趋势分析法。是与企业以前年
度纵向比较的结果,得出的发展趋势是以以前年
度为参照,然而过去的状况并不一定是合理的
所以分析的结果难免出现偏差。
4、因素分析法。
用此方法进行分析时,需注意分析的相关性、替代的顺序性、
前
提的假定性、替代的连环性等问题,可见其适用范围存在诸多限制,且需要人为的逻辑
判断,因而存在一定的局限性。
(三) 财务报表分析指标存在的局限性
在现
行的财务报表分析体系中,主要根据财务分析指标对企业的经营状况进行分
析,为管理者经营决策提供参
考依据 。但是,由于报表在信息披露方面存在局限性,
使得财务报表分析难以全面化、系统化。而且,
随着市场经济的不断发展,现有的指标
体系已经不能全面反映企业的经营状况,一些对企业有重大影
响的非财务指标没有包括
在内,如市场份额、产品质量和服务指标、人力资源指标、潜在盈利能力和持续
盈利能
力指标等。虽然这些指标在会计计量和核算方面还存在一些困难,但这些指标对企业经
营管理决策的影响日趋重要,如果不能充分揭示,就难以全面反映企业的软实力和经营
状况。
(四)财务报表本身的局限性
1、现行财务报表所提供的财务信息主要反映已发生的历史事
项,它与使用者决策
所需要的有关未来信息的相关性较低。由于财务报表是报告历史事项,财务分析是对
过
去事项的检验,因而这些信息无论何时运用于决策过程中,都存在着一个重要假设,即
过去是
预测未来的合理基础。
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2、现行财务报表主要反映能用货币计
量的信息,而无法反映许多对企业财务状况
和经营成果产生重大影响的重要信息,如企业的人员力资源状
况、市场占有率等信息。
稳健原则要求预计可能的损失而不预计可能的收益,有可能夸大费用、少计资产
和收益,
而使报表数据不实。正是由于财务报表存在着这些局限性,因而在进行财务分析时,必
须首先确定财务报表本身信息的可靠性,否则难以真正实现财务报表分析的目的。
三、具体对策建议
(一)对财务报表本身的改进
对于历史成本的会计计量而言,
我们不能完全摒弃,但是应当加以改进:一是加
快提取折旧的速度,尽量缩小历史成本与现行成本的距离
,到原有资产的保值,减少企
业的损失;二是实行现行成本计价,改变传统的成本计价方法,使账面价更
加接近现实
价,缩小实际价值与变现价值的距离,增强企业财务报表的真实性。
(二)财务报表分析指标的改进
首先,对于速动比率指标,凡是快速变现资产能力较强的都可以归入速动资产项
目,所以可以用企业的货币资金、短期证券、应收票据、信誉好客户的应收账款或账龄
小于 1
年的应收账款,若企业的产品比较畅销,变现能力很强,还可以加上存货中产成
品等作为速动资产,来计
算企业的速动比率指标,则更能准确衡量企业快速变现资产的
能力。
其次,对于流动比率
指标,可以剔除不能变现的预付账款、预付费用等及流动性
较差的且长期滞销而没有计提存货减值准备的
存货和不良应收账款,来计算企业的流动
比率,使之更能准确真实的反映企 业的短期偿债能力 。
再次,对于现金比率指标,反映即时付现能力,也是表明企业最坏情况下短期偿债
能力如何的指
标,应该包括货币资金和保持短期投资状态的短期投资净额(交易性金融
资产),而剔除短期股票投资套
牢而转化为事实上的长期投资。一般来说现金比率重要
性不大,因为不可能要求企业用现金和短期证券投
资来偿付全部的流动负债,但是当企
业应收账款、存货的变现能力存在问题时,现金比率就显得很重要了
。
(三)对财务报表分析方法体系的改进
1、坚持定量分析与定性分析相结合。现代
企业不仅面对国内环境还要面对复杂多
变的国际环境,这些外部环境有时很难定量,但会对企业财务报表
状况和经营成果产生
重要影响,比如会计报表外部信息等 。因此,我们在定量分析的基础上,需做出定
性
的判断,要充分发挥人员的丰富经验和量的精密计算两方面的作用,两者相互作用可使
报表分
析达到最优化,更好地反映真实情况,获得决策有用的信息。
2、坚持动态分析和静态分析相结合
。我们所看到的信息资料,特别是财务报表资
料一般是静态的反映企业过去的或历史的经营情况,而企业
的生产经营业务和财务活动
3
是一个动态的发展过程,因此要进行
动态分析,在了解过去情况的基础上,分析当前情
况的可能结果对 恰当预测企业未来有一定的帮助。
3、坚持个别分析与综合分析相结合。要全面地看问题,而不是孤立片面地只看到
个别财务指标的高与低
,就得出好与坏的结论。财务指标数值具有相对性,同一指标
数值在不同的情况下反映不同的问题,甚至
会得出相反的结论。比如,资产运用效率中
的应收账
款周转率指标越高,一方面反映企业平均收账期越短,应收账款的收 回越快,
收账的效率高、质量好;
而另一方面也可能是由于企业的信用政策过于严格所致,这也
会给企业带来负面影响,丧失部分机会成本
,使市场占有率下降等。因此,在进行财务
分析和评价时,单个指标不能说明问题,要根据某指标对其他
方面可能产生的影响进行
综合分析,才能得出正确结论。
总之,财务分析是对企业全方位的、系统的分析,必须考虑各种 可能的影响因素,
排除各因素
对会计报表的影响,只有这样才能达到财务分析的目的,满足各方相关利益
者的需求 。
(四)提高财务报表分析人员的综合素质
在财务报表分析过程中,财务分析人员起到了重要
的作用。管理层应从以下几个
方面人手,全面提高财务报表分析人员的综合素质:
1、重视对
企业财务分析人员的教育培训,加强其财务会计学、经济学、统计学、
企业管理和市场营销等各学科的学
习,提高他们的综合业务素质,使其能够全面解读报
表,
并根据财务报表分析结果做出正确的判断,使分析人员在工作中逐步提高对问题
的分
析能力和判断能力。
2、鼓励财务分析人员熟练掌握各种财务分析软件和分析工具,在提高工作效率的
同时,协助其得出正确的分析结果。
3、加强会计职业道德教育,树立正确的分析理念,为企
业管理者的经营投资决策
提供真实可靠的参考依据。
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The statement analysis in my thought
Abstract :
The financial
reporting is the essential method to promulgate
the business
finance information and the core
of financial report. Along with our country market
economy's development and consummates
unceasingly, the people realize to the importance
of the statement analysis day by day. Through
the analysis financial reporting, can appraise
the past management performance of enterprise,
can weight present financial situation of
enterprise, can forecasts future development
trend of the enterprise. Therefore, to financial
reporting's users , to analysis and uses the
financial reporting well is very important. But as
a
result of traditional, commonly used
statement analysis existence certain limitation,
it creates
certain barrier for us to correct
understanding finance information. This article in
view of our
country present statement analysis
existence's limitation, discusses its
countermeasure
solution, as to provide the new
mentality and the method to consummate and develop
our
country's statement analysis system .
Keyword:
Statement analysis, method,
l
imitation
, suggestion
1. outline of
statement analysis
The statement analysis is
refers to takes the basis and the beginning by the
financial
reporting and other material, uses
the special method, system analysis and the
appraisal
enterprise's past and present's
management performance, the financial situation
and the
change, the goal will be to understand
the past, appraisal now, the forecast future,
helped the
interest relations group improve
the decision-making. The basic function of
financial analysis
is to transform the massive
report data to the useful information for specific
decision-making,
reduces the uncertainty of
the policy-making
Financial analysis methods
Including the comparison analytic method and the
factor
analytic method, compared with the
analytic method in financial ratio's comparison is
the
most important analysis, They through the
comparison of relative number, removed the
enterprise size influence to cause the
different comparison object establish the
commeasure
ability between the different time
and the different profession, reflected the inner
link between
the essential factor in each
accountant. The basic financial ratio of
enterprise may divide into
four kinds: Namely
cash ability ratio, asset management ratio, debt
ratio and profit ability
ratio. The different
financial ratio is playing the different role in
enterprise's financial control.
1.1 Cash
ability ratio
Mainly has the current ratio
and the quick ratio, through to these ratio's
computation and
5
the
analysis, with appraises the enterprise
realization ability and the reflection
enterprise's
short-term credit capacity, it
will be decided in how many cash current assets
the enterprise
may transform in the near
future into.
1.2 Asset management ratio
Including business cycle, goods in stock
cycling rate, account receivable cycling rate,
current assets cycling rate and total assets
cycling rate. These ratios are important financial
ratios to use for to weigh enterprise
assets managerial effectiveness .
1.3
Debt ratio
Mainly includes the property
ratio of debt to net worth, the equity ratio, the
visible net
worth debt rate and the interest
multiple has attained. To calculates these ratios
through the
report form , then analyze the
related data between the rights and interests and
the property
relations, analysis inner link
between the different rights and interests, with
appraises capacity
of enterprise's long-term
credit.
2. In the statement analysis exist
question
2.1 The statement analysis staffs
exist limitation
one side , the statement
analysis staffs analysis ability existence
difference. As a
result of the statement
analysis personnel's professional quality and
ability level existence
difference, the
different analysis staffs grasp the degree to be
different in statement analysis's
correlation
theories, the analysis method and the explanation
financial reporting and so on
various aspects
knowledge, cause it to analyze the target computed
result the understanding
and the understanding
have the difference, this will affect the result
the statement analysis
inevitably. On the
other hand, when carries on the statement
analysis, but also has the
possibility
artificial operation analysis target. Through uses
the different computational
method to obtain
the different analysis target, achieves the goal
to plasters the enterprise
operating results
2.2 Statement analysis method existence
limitation
The statement analysis method
includes the comparison analytic method, the ratio
analytic method, the tendency analytic method
as well as the factor analytic method and so on,
these methods have its superiority
respectively, but simultaneously also has the
limitation.
2.2.1 Compared with analytic
method
Because situation varies between the
different enterprise,. during the identical
enterprise's different time, when comparative
analysis its data will lack the commeasure
ability unavoidably.
2.2.2
Ratio
analytic method
The financial ratio is the
relative number which compares by two related
projects obtains,
6
in fact
affects this ratio the factor to have many, cannot
just use two projects to express
merely, when
analyzes weighs comprehensively with difficulty.
2.2.3 Tendency analytic method
This is
result which with the enterprise the previous year
longitudinal comparison,
obtained the trend of
development was take the previous year as the
reference, however past
condition was not
necessarily reasonable, therefore the analysis
result presented the deviation
unavoidably.
2.2.4 factor analytic method.
When with
this method to Carry on the analysis, must pay
attention to the analysis the
relevance, the
substitution, the premise hypothesis, substitution
series questions and so on
order, obviously
its applicable scope has many limits, and needs
the artificial logical
judgement, thus has
certain limitation.
2.3Statement analysis
target existence limitation
In the present
statement analysis system, mainly carries on the
analysis according to the
financial analysis
target to enterprise's state of operation,
provides the reference for the
superintendent
operating decisions. But, because the report form
has the limitation in the
information
disclosed that the aspect, causes the statement
analysis comprehensively with
difficulty, and
the systematization. Moreover, along with
development of market economy's
unceasing,
the existing indicator system already could not
reflect enterprise's state of
operation
comprehensively, some non-financial norm have the
major impact to the enterprise
not including,
like the market share, the product quality and the
service target, the human
resources target,
latent profit ability and gain continually ability
target and so on. Although
these targets
measure and the calculation aspect in accountant
also have some difficulties, but
these targets
are important to the enterprise management and
operation decision-making's
influence day by
day , if cannot promulgate fully, with difficulty
reflects enterprise's soft
strength and the
state of operation comprehensively.
2.4Financial reporting's limitation
2.4.1
The present financial reporting
provides the financial information main reflection
the historical item has occurred, it the
related future information relevance which will
need
with the user decision-making is low.
Because the financial reporting reports the
historical
item, the financial analysis was
examination to the past item, thus these
information whenever
utilized in the decision-
making process, has an important supposition,
namely the past is
foundation forecasts future
reasonable.
2.4.2 The present financial
reporting main reflect the information which can
use the
currency measurement, but is unable to
reflect important information that many pair of
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business finance condition
and the management performance have the major
impact, like
information enterprise's
personnel , transport charges source condition,
market share ,and so
on. But the steady
principle request estimate possible loss not to
estimate that the possible
income, to have the
possibility to be exaggerating the expense, little
to count the property and
the income, causes
the report data not to be solid. Is precisely
because the financial reporting
has these
limitations, thus when carry on the financial
analysis, must first determine the
financial
reporting itself information the reliability,
otherwise realizes the statement analysis
goal
truly with difficulty.
3. Concrete
countermeasure suggestion
3.1
improve
the financial reporting
About measure speaking
of historical costs' accountant, we cannot abandon
completely,
but must perform to improve:
First, speeds up speed which the extraction
amortizes, reduces
the distance between
historical costs and the present cost as far as
possible, to the original
property's store of
value, reduces enterprise's loss; Second,
implements the present cost
valuation, the
change tradition cost valuation method, causes the
account face value to be
closer to the present
actual price, reduces the actual value and the
realization value distance,
the enhancement
business finance report form authenticity.
3.2statement analysis target improvement
First, regarding the quick ratio target, every
ability fast realization property strong may
belong to the quick asset project, therefore
may use enterprise's monetary fund, the short-term
negotiable securities, the notes receivable,
the prestige good customer account receivable or
the account age is smaller than 1 year account
receivable, if enterprise's product quite sells
well, the cash ability is very strong, but may
also add on stores goods the finished product to
take the quick asset, calculates enterprise's
quick ratio target, then can weigh ability the
enterprise fast realization property
accurately
Next, regarding the current ratio
target, may reject prepay credit cannot the
realization,
the prepaid expenses and the
fluidity bad, and long-term unsalable but has not
counted raises
the goods in stock depreciation
preparation the goods in stock with the bad
account receivable,
calculates enterprise's
current ratio, enables it reflect capacity of
enterprise's short-term
accurately
Once more, regarding the cash ratio target,
reflected pays in cash ability immediately, is
also indicated that how target in the
enterprise worst situation short-term credit
capacity, to
include the monetary fund and to
maintain the short term investment condition the
short term
8
investment net
amount (transaction monetary assets), but rejects
a short-term stock investment
set of jail to
transform as long-term investment in fact.
Generally speaking the importance of cash
ratio is not big, because is impossible to
request the enterprise reimburses the complete
current liability with the cash and the
short-
term securities investment, but works as when
enterprise account receivable, goods in
stock
cash ability existence question, the cash ratio
appeared is very important.
3.3
To
improve statement analysis method system
3.3.1 insisted that the quantitative analysis
and the qualitative analysis unify.
The
modern enterprise not only faces the domestic
environment also to need to face the
complicated and diversified international
environment, these external environment very
difficult to quota sometimes, but has the
material effect to the condition of business
finance
report form and the management
performance, for instance fiscal statement
extraneous
information and so on. Therefore,
we need to analysis foundation in quantitative,
must make
the qualitative judgment, must
display personnel's rich experience and the
quantity fully
calculates after two aspects
precisely the functions, both interaction may
enable the statement
analysis to achieve the
optimization, reflects the real situation well,
obtains the useful
information for policy-
making.
3.3.2 insisted that the dynamic
analysis and the vertical analysis unify.
We
saw the information paper, specially the financial
reporting material generally was the
static
which reflect enterprise past or the historical
operating condition, but enterprise's
production operation service and the financial
operation is a dynamic developing process,
must therefore carry on the dynamic analysis,
in the foundation of understanding in the past
situation, to analysis current situation's
possible result to have certain help to the
appropriate
forecast enterprise in the future
.
3.3.3 insisted that analyzes and the
generalized analysis individually unifies.
Must look at the question comprehensively, not
only saw one-sidedly isolated individual
financial norm Gao Yu is low, draws good and
the bad conclusion. The financial norm value
has the relativity, the identical target value
reflects the different question in the different
situation, will draw the opposite conclusion.
For instance, in the property utilization
efficiency's account receivable cycling rate
target is higher, on the one hand the reflection
enterprise average debt collection time is
shorter, account receivable's reclamation is
quicker,
the debt collection efficiency is
high, the quality is good; But on the other hand
also possibly
is because enterprise's credit
policy is too strict is the result, this will also
bring the negative
influence to the
enterprise, will lose the partial opportunity
cost, will cause the market share
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drop and so on. Therefore, when carry
on the financial analysis and the appraisal, the
single
target cannot show the question, must
act according to some target the influence which
possibly produces to other aspects to carry on
the generalized analysis, can draw the correct
conclusion.
In brief, the financial
analysis is to the enterprise omni-directional,
system's analysis,
must consider that each
kind of possibility the influencing factor,
removes various factors to
the fiscal
statement influence, only then can achieve the
financial analysis like the goal, meets
all
quarters related benefit need.
e the
statement analysis staffs’ overall quality
In
the statement analysis process, the financial
analysis staff played the vital role. The
management should improve the statement
analysis personnel's overall quality
comprehensively from the following several
aspect manpower:
3.4.1 takes seriously to
business finance analysis staffs' education
training, strengthens
its financial
accounting, the economic, statistics, the business
management and the market
marketing and so on
various disciplines study, improves their
comprehensive professional
quality, enables
its to explain the report form comprehensively,
and makes the correct
judgment according to
the statement analysis result, makes the analysis
staffs to enhance
gradually in the work to the
question analysis ability and judgment ability.
3.4.2 Encourages the financial analysis staff
to grasp each financial analysis software and
the analysis tool skills, during enhancement
working efficiency, assists it to obtain the
correct
analysis result.
3.4.3
Strengthens accountant the occupational ethics
education, sets up the correct
analysis idea,
provides the real reliable reference for the
enterprise superintendent's
management
investment decision.
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